As we progress through 2024, we can be cautiously optimistic about the UK’s economic outlook. According to the new EY ITEM Club Spring Forecast, while this year may see modest growth, we can anticipate more rapid growth in 2025. Key factors behind this positive trajectory include falling inflation, higher consumer spending, and anticipated reductions in interest rates. For prospective First time buyers and homeowners looking to refinance, these economic indicators suggest a more favourable mortgage market in the near future.
The Current Economic Outlook
This has been a year of modest economic growth for the UK, as some challenges linger from the past few difficult years, including global economic uncertainties and governmental fiscal policies. However, this conservative growth outlook is not without its silver linings. It is anticipated that inflation, a significant pressure point for many households and businesses, will continue to decline throughout the year. This decrease in inflation is crucial as it directly impacts consumer purchasing power and overall economic stability.
Why Inflation Matters
Inflation affects everything from the cost of groceries to the price of homes. When inflation is high, the cost of living increases, which can squeeze household budgets and reduce spending. For the mortgage market, high inflation leads to higher interest rates from the Bank of England, who adjust monetary policy to combat rising prices. However, as inflation falls, it eases the pressure to maintain high interest rates, creating a more favourable borrowing environment for consumers.
Anticipated Reductions in Interest Rates
Over the past few years, homeowners and prospective homebuyers have faced higher mortgage rates, making borrowing more expensive. Lower interest rates can significantly reduce monthly mortgage payments, making home ownership more accessible for first time buyers and providing substantial savings for those looking to refinance. This predicted reduction in interest rates is a welcome reprieve for many home owners and first time buyers.
Even a 1% reduction in interest rates can save homeowners thousands of pounds over the life of their mortgage. This potential for savings can stimulate the housing market, meaning good news for those thinking of selling their home or invest in buying a home.
Increased Consumer Spending
Another positive indicator is the expected rise in consumer spending. As inflation falls, consumers are likely to feel more confident about their financial situation, leading to increased spending. This boost in consumer confidence can have a ripple effect throughout the economy, promoting growth in various sectors including real estate.
Higher consumer spending can also lead to increased demand for housing. As people feel more secure in their financial situation, they are more likely to consider purchasing a home or upgrading their current living situation. This increased demand can help stabilize and potentially increase property values, benefiting both buyers and sellers.
Preparing for the Future: Tips for Homebuyers and Homeowners
Given these positive economic indicators, now is a strategic time to consider your mortgage options. Here are a few tips to help you navigate the mortgage market in 2024:
Stay Informed: Keep up-to-date with economic forecasts and interest rate changes. Understanding the broader economic context can help you make informed decisions about when to buy or refinance.
Evaluate Your Financial Situation: Take a close look at your financial health. Consider factors such as your credit score, debt-to-income ratio, and overall savings. A strong financial profile can help you secure a better mortgage rate.
Consider Refinancing: If you already own a home, refinancing your mortgage could save you money, especially if interest rates fall. Lowering your interest rate can reduce your monthly payments and free up funds for other financial goals.
Plan for the Long Term: Think about your long-term needs and financial goals. Whether you’re buying your first home, moving to a larger property, or downsizing, having a clear plan can guide your decisions and help you build equity over time.
Looking Ahead
While the economic outlook for 2024 may be modest, the anticipated improvements in 2025 provide hope for the housing market. Falling inflation, increased consumer spending, and lower interest rates create a promising environment for homebuyers and homeowners alike.
Get in touch. Working with a mortgage broker can provide you with valuable insights and access to a wider range of mortgage products. Our Mortgage brokers at Mortgage Solutions Belfast, can help you find the best rates and terms to suit your needs. Whether you’re looking to buy your first home, refinance your current mortgage, or invest in property, our team of expert mortgage brokers is here to guide you every step of the way.
